**آفتابنیوز**:
از امروز مذاکرات رسمی بین ایران و آمریکا در عمان آغاز شد. معاونان دو کشور، اعلام کردهاند که اگر تلاش دیپلماتیک ر 등의 جایگزین بحرانها شود، پی中秋达成就并非易事。不过,随着官方会谈日期的临近,一条非正式的消息不胫而走,引发了人们在达成协议情况下的乐观情绪。
一些政治活动人士透露,伊朗已划定领域,吸引大约10000亿美元的投资,希望其他国家能够参与其中。当得知总统办公室与最高领袖的顾问进行磋商,扫清了美国参与这些投资项目障碍后,这条消息的重要性更加凸显。这些投资项目将在谈判过程中向美国提出。总统在4月12日的国家核技术日上表示:“每周我都多次拜访最高领袖,他不反对美国在伊朗的投资,他欢迎美国投资者来伊朗投资。”
该消息一经发布,即在公众中引发了诸多疑问,例如:伊朗与美国合作的千亿美元投资计划究竟是什么?这些投资能力将在哪些经济领域实现,将会有哪些国家参与?与美国、欧洲和其他国家共同定义的经济利益能在多大程度上加强伊朗与美国之间可能达成的任何协议?
据透露,这些为吸引外国投资而规划的经济项目将达到2万亿美元,而非1万亿美元。其中1万亿美元将专门分配给美国,另外1万亿美元将留给欧洲国家、印度、邻国等。伊朗还与中国和俄罗斯达成了长期合作协议。许多分析人士认为,这可以被视为伊朗与美国双边谈判中实现双赢的关键。
将政治问题作为伊朗与美国双边谈判的核心,鉴于两国间存在的政治问题,可能会遇到诸多障碍。根据这一蓝图,第14届政府希望通过提议在伊朗的投资,一方面为更稳定、更强有力的协议铺平道路,另一方面满足国家对基础设施修缮和建设的需求。
**Ali Bagheri: 2 Trillion Dollar Investment Strengthens Agreement with America**
Ali Bagheri, a reformist political activist, commented on the prospects of Iran’s bilateral talks with America and the strategy devised to strengthen a potential agreement. He stated, “Prioritizing economic negotiations to define shared cooperation, especially with America and Europe, is a very intelligent strategy. This can be understood by drawing from past experiences, particularly the JCPOA in the last decade. Many analysts believe that if the JCPOA had included serious economic cooperation, especially with America, it might have had a different and more sustainable fate, making it harder for Trump to leave the agreement easily.”
Bagheri also noted, “A deep behavioral analysis of American leaders, especially Trump, shows that prioritizing economics and entering negotiations through the economic door is sensible. For Trump, it’s important that the negotiations result in significant investment news. Although official announcements in this regard have not been made, if the 2 trillion dollar investment is as realistic as it is, it demonstrates the government’s correct policy. This approach increases the likelihood of success in negotiations and provides a clearer outlook.”
Bagheri, in response to the question of “trust,” whether such economic cooperation strategies are important for Iran’s development, said, “A 2 trillion dollar investment, given the lag in infrastructure and other areas over the years, places Iran in a new space. I believe that naming the year 1404 as the year of investment by the Supreme Leader, and including investment among the initial goals of the year, is not unrelated to this grand strategy. Even if there is no direct connection, today this convergence has emerged, where the country’s backwardness, especially over the past decade, in attracting investment for strengthening national infrastructure and improving sectors such as oil, energy, industry, and imbalances can be addressed through such measures.”
He concluded, “Opening avenues for investment in infrastructure not only creates a ground for agreement and understanding but also significantly contributes to improving economic indicators, increasing per capita income, enhancing purchasing power, and ultimately improving people’s living standards. I congratulate the government on this move and hope that it will be effective and ultimately improve people’s living conditions.”
**Hadi Haghshenas: Countries with Shared Interests Move Away from Tension and Conflict**
Hadi Haghshenas, a member of the 14th cabinet and Governor of Gilan, approaches the discussion from a different perspective, evaluating the definition of shared cooperation and sustainable interests as a reason for countries to move away from tension and conflict. Haghshenas stated, “Before discussing the 2 trillion dollar investment, it’s important to highlight an important point: why did World War I and II happen in Europe, but not World War III, despite both world wars starting in European countries?”
The primary reason, Haghshenas explained, was that Europeans defined and identified shared interests. The Treaty of Madrid, which led to a single currency and flag for Europe, transformed it into a unified block, bringing peace to Europe and the world. Since then, there have been no major conflicts in Europe or the world, only small, limited disputes.
“Using this example, I want to emphasize that if different countries define shared interests, they will experience less tension. If, for example, the sale of electricity from Iran to Iraq wasn’t sanctioned, it was because of shared interests with Iraq. If the Chabahar port wasn’t sanctioned even under Trump, it was because India had shared interests with Iran in Chabahar,” Haghshenas added.
He recalled, “One of Iran’s major problems in previous years was its inability to create shared interests not only with the world but even with neighboring countries. If Iranian oil, a pyramid of shared interests, had been used correctly, many problems would not exist today. Instead, Iran used oil to pressure others, leading the world to move towards new and alternative energy sources and other oil-producing countries. We need to move towards shared interests with other countries. The best form of shared interests is not the sale of natural resources but joint investment in various fields.”
Haghshenas, in response to the question of whether the conditions for realizing the 2 trillion dollar investment exist, said, “Two numbers are sufficient. The first is in the 7th Five-Year Plan, which states that Iran needs 1 trillion dollars in investment to achieve an 8% economic growth rate. Fifty percent of the 2 trillion dollars is mentioned in the 7th Plan. Comparing Iran with Turkey and Saudi Arabia, both countries have reached a GDP of 1 trillion dollars annually. We need to understand what volume of investment has led to such production. It must be more than ten times the amount of investment to achieve a national GDP of 1 trillion dollars. Iran has far greater capacities than Turkey and Saudi Arabia. If Turkey and Saudi Arabia can invest 10 trillion dollars, Iran can easily achieve 2 trillion dollars.”
He added, “For example, Imam Khomeini International Airport needs several hundred billion dollars in investment to be on par with other regional airports in the UAE, Qatar, and Turkey. Iran also needs several hundred billion dollars to extract its oil and gas resources, which rank high globally. Iran has significant investment needs in the tourism sector as well. No five or seven-star hotels have been built in recent years. Iran has significant potential in health tourism. Iran’s transport fleet is aged, and 130 million liters of gasoline and gas oil are wasted daily due to this. By modernizing Iran’s air fleet, a significant portion of these resources can be saved. Iran needs 500 new aircraft. Additionally, Iran’s mining products are sold in raw form.”
Haghshenas concluded, “Including economic capacities in negotiations helps Iran achieve more robust agreements. If Iran defines economic cooperation for America and Europe, it can also create conditions for exiting agreements. One of Trump’s main reasons for leaving the JCPOA was that America did not have an appropriate economic share. If these foundations and capacities are defined in future potential agreements, Iran can achieve more from negotiations and agreements.”
[Source](https://aftabnews.ir/fa/news/981516/%D9%85%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%81%D9%82%D8%AA-%D8%B1%D9%87%D8%A8%D8%B1-%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%82%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%A8-%D8%A8%D8%A7-%D8%B3%D8%B1%D9%85%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%87-%DA%AF%D8%B0%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D9%87%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%85%DB%8C%D9%84%DB%8C%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AF-%D8%AF%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A2%D9%85%D8%B1%DB%8C%DA%A9%D8%A7-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86)
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